Sunday, January 27, 2019

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Ethics

Circumstantial Evidence, Bias and perhaps lack 

Conspiracy theory: 10 year challenge & tech

Theranos: One of the most epic failures in corporate governance in the annals of American capitalism
https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/insights/what-can-we-learn-downfall-theranos

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Offbeat

Capitalism and inequality

Understanding Propaganda

The business of kidnapping: inside the secret world of hostage negotiation

The New Russian Empire

Why sunscreen is harmful for our overall well-being and we should all spend a fair amount of time outdoors.
https://www.outsideonline.com/2380751/sunscreen-sun-exposure-skin-cancer-science

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Personal Finance

Why everyone else seems to have more money than you

PPF investment for Rs 1 crore

You are not Buffett

Double your money (TRB)

Wealth is Created over time.  The untold story of a self-made investing millionaire 

The Biggest Returns

12 things I've learned from comedians about money

FISH method of saving money 

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Investing

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Economy

Modi to consider cheap loans for small businesses

China & the Laws of Economics

Gauging market through Credit 
https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/strategy-and-corporate-finance/our-insights/a-better-way-to-anticipate-downturns

Understanding and Interpreting Standard Deviations

Often I have seen that it becomes a challenge to explain how Standard Deviation is to be understood. 

Excel Formula: =STDEV.S(Select the Cells with data) 
The resultant will be 1 Standard Deviation (SD). 

1 SD covers 66% of the sample data
2 SD covers 95% of the sample data

Example: 10 yr Avg returns is 13% and the Std Dev is  1.98%. 

1SD = 11.38% to 15.38% 

Calculation
13.40+1.98  = 15.38
13.40 - 1.98 = 11.38

2SD = 9.44% to 17.36%

Calculation
13.40+(2x1.98)  = 17.36
13.40 - (2x1.98) = 9.44

Meaning: 9.44% to 17.36% is the range in which 95% of the data points are over the last 10 years.

Relevant questions:
How many working days were there?
How many data points were used to derive SD?
If there is a massive discrepancy in the above data then perhaps understanding the source of the data and the calculation methodology is important.

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Culture

The Spanish Maharani: The Cinderella story in real life

Vijayanagara: How History Survives
https://madrascourier.com/insight/a-portuguese-account-of-krishnadevaraya-his-kingdom/

Sunday, January 20, 2019

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Investments

Investing Lessons From Michael Burry

Investing and More

This strange ritual of Japanese rail workers can help us evaluate equity markets

PSU & Wealth Destruction

Market Movement

An Investors Edge

How to Start Investing

IT Sector and Premium Valuations

Stock Caps In Index Funds

Investing Perspectives
http://alphaideas.in/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Stanley.jpg

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Business

Profile: Bajaj Auto

Two to Tango. Founders & VCs

Real Estate’s Reality

Penalties need to be made obnoxious and powerful people need to go to jail. That's the only way malpractices will end.

Business News

Impact of Perspective -- The Fourth-Cycle

Retail US - Investigating Truth

Globalization in Transition: The future of trade and value Chains https://www.mckinsey.com/featured-insights/innovation-and-growth/globalization-in-transition-the-future-of-trade-and-value-chains

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Personal Finance

High Savings is also required to meet Financial Goals

Gold Should Only Be Used Tactically

Cash Management Is Really All About Stress Management https://www.financialsamurai.com/building-savings-war-chest-is-about-stress-management/  

Fake News & Financial Implication

The Importance of Law
https://thereformedbroker.com/2019/01/11/stock-markets-and-the-rule-of-law-2/

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Offbeat

Science: Indian Scientist 

Ego - A Nemesis of Commoners

The Case for Trump Impeachment

Money & Premeire League

The ugly Indian

21st Century Mercenaries - Old Wine in New Bottle
http://www.atimes.com/article/western-mercenaries-locked-loaded-and-ready-to-go/

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Economics

Anticipating Downturns

Farmer Savings

China set to live in Deficits?
https://www.livemint.com/Politics/EGNZx6xn80mXecKlX9Dh2H/China-signals-more-stimulus-as-economic-slowdown-deepens.html

Weekly Readings - Jan 20, 2019: Technology

Cybersecurity Framework

Advancing Human-Rights-By-Design In The Dual-Use Technology Industry

China and Hacking

DNA Tracing & Crime Fighting

AI and software Vulnerability

EU's Bug Bounties

Maybe we have the cybersecurity we deserve which is pathetic
https://www.csoonline.com/article/3328555/security/maybe-we-have-the-cybersecurity-we-deserve.html

Sunday, January 13, 2019

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 - Must read

Cover 2018: 51 Ideas from 2018
https://www.safalniveshak.com/51-ideas-from-2018/

Our Favorite Facts of 2018
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/28/reader-center/our-favorite-facts-of-2018.html

OFFBEAT (Click here)

It is expectations that define achievements
https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/wild-expectations/

ECONOMICS (Click here)

Special Report: Oil Prices and the Transition to New Cycle
http://www.pineconemacro.com/uploads/2/8/3/3/28331049/pinecone_macro_special_report_-_oil_and_the_super_cycle.pdf

BUSINESS (Click here)

Balkrishna Industries
https://finception.in/stocks/balkrishna-industries/

INVESTING (Click here)

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 – People

Vidya Vox
https://www.scmp.com/magazines/post-magazine/long-reads/article/2180502/vidya-vox-youtube-sensation-mixes-her-indian-and

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 – Personal Finance


Fund Returns vs Investor Returns
http://www.subramoney.com/2018/12/investor-returns-vs-fund-returns/

Why SIP and Dynamic Asset Allocation Category of Mutual funds make sense
https://theirrelevantinvestor.com/2019/01/11/buy-low-buy-high/

Investing Tips
https://themfguy.wordpress.com/2019/01/05/investing-tips/

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 - Investing

Ritesh Jain's global outlook. Bear Calling.
http://worldoutofwhack.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Brace-for-the-impact.pdf

When markets are oversold
https://pensionpartners.com/what-happens-when-stocks-are-extremely-oversold/

Lessons from Stanley Druckenmiller
http://deflation.market/lessons-from-a-trading-great-stanley-druckenmiller/?print=pdf

Herding of FMs leads to negative performance
https://alphaarchitect.com/2019/01/07/herding-and-mutual-fund-performance/

Morgan Housel on investment, sales, investor, recession, and pessimism
https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/things-im-pretty-sure-about/

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 - Business

Balkrishna Industries
https://finception.in/stocks/balkrishna-industries/

Excess Capacity
https://www.moneylife.in/article/excess-capacities-to-hit-near-term-profitability-of-greenply-century-and-others-report/56085.html

Changing nature of the Newspaper Publishing
https://mashable.com/2014/05/16/full-new-york-times-innovation-report/#Y.CcLRW9OPq6

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 - Economics

The Debt Problem. It can only be solved by a Crisis that is not expected.
https://www.weeklystandard.com/james-grant/congress-is-plenty-bipartisan-when-it-comes-to-ignoring-the-national-debt

Special Report: Oil Prices and the Transition to New Cycle
http://www.pineconemacro.com/uploads/2/8/3/3/28331049/pinecone_macro_special_report_-_oil_and_the_super_cycle.pdf

When facts change one should also change their opinion.
https://www.themacrotourist.com/posts/2019/01/08/fed/

Weekly Readings - Jan 13, 2019 - Offbeat

The Dumb Phone
https://www.theverge.com/2017/1/31/14450710/bring-back-the-dumb-phone

It is expectations that define achievements
https://www.collaborativefund.com/blog/wild-expectations/


Racist Indians
https://www.dawn.com/news/1456176/the-nouveau-riche-indian


Nature's revenge on humanity?
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2019/jan/08/when-the-ice-melts-the-catastrophe-of-vanishing-glaciers


On Being More Productivehttps://www.ted.com/talks/shawn_achor_the_happy_secret_to_better_work 

Coca-Cola's influence on chinese government

Carlos Ghosn is the guy who saved Nissan and is now facing trial with charges ranging from corruption to financial wrong-doing. Given below are some of the interesting pieces around the case, and about the man.

Japan - Guilty Until Proven Otherwise

Et-Tu Brutus?

From Saviour to Disgrace

Saturday, January 5, 2019

Weekly Readings - Jan 5, 2019

PEOPLE

Paola Cerchiello, Senior Assistant Professor of Data Science at the University of Pavia. She shared some of her thoughts on career and woman which is summarised

INVESTING

A Simple Analysis of 2018 U.S. Factor Returns

Discipline: A Necessary Condition for Successful Investing

Abhishek Basumallick, SEBI registered Research Analyst, shares his view on why the few things that matter in investing is oil price movement, jobs and demography

Jiten Parmar, from Aurum Capital, shares his view on 3 sectors

January 2019 Data Update 1: A reminder that equities are risky, in case you forgot!

A Historical Perspective of Market Corrections
Revisiting some old blogs:

Buffett Myth. There is one error in this blog. Buffett was an activist investor in some case. Not something he has practised in the last 20 years or 30 years.

Damodaran On Buffett & Munger Annual Meeting

Regulatory regime: SEBI begins 2019 with screws on cash-based trading in equity, commodity

Perspective: How Tax impacts the returns? Why fund management should also take that into account?

Perspective: When the Bubble Bursts, Consider the Anti-Bubble
POLITICS

PM Modi’s interview Jan 2019.

BUSINESS

Farmveda: The for-profit venture of a Bengaluru-based cooperative, helps farmers earn more through value-added products

Guidelines on restructuring MSME Loans

ECONOMY & ECONOMICS

This paper by Deepa S. Raj and Edwin Prabu A. examines the impact and implications of Tamil Nadu’s agricultural loan waiver scheme of 2016, based on data collected through a field survey of seven districts of the state as well as farm loan transactions data obtained from select primary agricultural co-operative credit societies. The empirical findings of the paper suggest that in the immediate post-waiver period, near the cut off acreage of 5 acres, the probability of obtaining credit was higher for non-beneficiary farmers than for beneficiary farmers. However, the difference in post-waiver access to credit to the beneficiary farmer and the non-beneficiary farmer comes down as the supply of funds for agricultural loans normalises.

In the wake of greater fiscal activism advocated globally to revive economies after the 2008 financial crisis, Indranil Bhattacharyya and Atri Mukherjee examine the efficacy of fiscal policy in stimulating economic growth of 20 major Emerging Market Economies. Their findings indicate the ineffectiveness of expansionary fiscal policy in stimulating economic growth. Controlling for financial factors that caused the growth slump and truncating the sample regarding pre- and post-crisis years, the impact of fiscal stimulus turns out to be positive and statistically significant in the latter period. These findings suggest that the observed slump in growth in the post-crisis period would have been much sharper in the absence of stimulus, implying that fiscal activism pursued by these EMEs was successful in arresting the downside of growth.

New investments in India plunge to 14-year-low

What Would A Transfer of Power From Baby Boomers To Generation X Look Like?

Mohamed A. El-Erian: Life Is Getting Harder for Central Banks
https://www.bloombergquint.com/view/fed-and-ecb-get-blamed-for-stock-market-turmoil#gs.BEbRyOpS

BOOK REVIEW

FDI in India: History, Policy and the Asian Perspective by Manoj Pant and Deepika Srivastava

MANAGEMENT

Management lessons from the Ramakrishna Mission

Eight shifts that will take your strategy into high gear

An interview with Nobel laureate Richard Thaler

Bots, algorithms, and the future of the finance function

OFFBEAT

We Humans, Without Humanity

Protein Obsession

A Glimpse Of The Suburban Grotesque

When Standards Slack and Editorial Bosses Care Less About Facts

Pakistan & Female Cops

Old Age Can Also Be Interesting. Like These The 90s Gang

Raymond Group: The Battle Between Father & Son

TECHNOLOGY

Man Loses Rs 1.89 Crore After 6 Calls: How You Can Avoid The ‘SIM Swap’ Fraud. While I have been reading about this tact for about a year now. The trend has caught up with higher reporting.